Cui bono?

honor hominesque honesti floreant

Category: Hollande

With friends and allies like these…

We have received a message from Monty Skew, currently in Monaco.  Due to what we regard as its insulting nature we shall not post it here and only add that we will not tolerate being addressed as ‘you girlies’, but as professionals we shall nonetheless issue the piece which it accompanied:

With the eyes of the world looking at France through a lens shaped like a football, it seems to have escaped general notice that the country has turned her politics into a branch of circus entertainment.  In earlier times of chaos there was a detectible hankering for a return to some kind of ancien régime, a good example being the return to power of de Gaulle in 1959.  But now what she needs is a return to any sort of régime at all.  To begin with, the problem was the election of Hollande as president.  (An earlier cousin of this site pointed out before his election that this was a major blunder on the part of the electorate given that he was not Martine Aubry, who was clearly the best candidate available for the job, but who lost the chance to compete, being a woman.  So much for égalité.)  It is a sort of poetic justice that the next president will be a woman, all the many other contenders having wrestled one another to political exhaustion (so much for fraternité), leaving Marine Le Pen out on her own, benefitting with another dollop of poetic justice – or in this case some would say ‘poetic injustice’ – from the decision by all the self-alleging democratic contenders to exclude her from the political battlefield as too right-wing for decent politicians to tangle with.  Hollande thinks that he is still the President (as in fact he still is in the strictest constitutional terms) which has led him to try the usual ploys of useless and failed national leaders, military interventions abroad (provided that the abroad concerned is not too strong militarily), announcements to the nation that the situation is improving (‘ça va mieux’ despite unemployment now being hundreds of thousands higher than when he was elected), and ‘toughness’ at home, notably by manipulating into law without parliamentary approval a measure to help employers wanting to dismiss employees, a measure which has naturally caused massive strikes and continuing protests, which despite the associated chaos still have 60% support from the public of this reputedly democratic country.  He has now compounded the error by letting the government consider the possibility of banning public protest (so much for liberté).  Earlier, he had naturally tried the tactic of shifting ministers around, but this backfired on Hollande when he brought in Manuel Valls (a Spaniard until his twenties) to be his prime minister since the latter soon usurped the position of prospective next President with ratings far superior to those of Hollande, until as the chaos grew worse the move backfired on Valls in his turn whose prospects of winning power are now wilting like the chances of Hollande getting back the favours of the lady he used to visit disguised in a motorcycle helmet until his liaison was discovered whereupon he ungallantly assured the nation that he was putting her aside and would be staying in his office.  Meanwhile  strange characters roam the land.  One Mélenchon, with good ideas and intentions but less political nous (transliterated from the Greek, not untranslated from the French) than Charles I of England tells the French things most of them do not wish to hear.  One Macron walks the highways and the byways and the fish markets smiling on all he meets and holding himself out to be the reincarnation of Tony Blair telling those who listen that he has answers to the nation’s travails which he heard from the mouths of Goldman Sachs.  And now  plagues of barbarians have arrived to stage nightly street battles, giving the French police all the chances they could wish to show that they can stage  street battles better than any of them.  Ce n’est pas magnifique, mais du moins ce n’est pas la guerre.

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Book review : The fashionable economist Nemone Credat (a contemporary of Karela at the London School of Geographic and Political Studies) has published a new book (pretty much an old book actually but incorporating some eye-catching shots of her in impressive locations and extremely stylish gear, pages 3, 17, 31, 39 and 82, with pp.108-116 as a pull-out colour supplement) promoting her idea of corruption as a necessary requirement for maximising economic growth; as she puts it, corruption is ‘the oil which maximizes the efficiency of the world economic engine’.  Corruption in all its forms, cartels, nepotism, cronyism, insider trading, free trade pacts and other political stitch-ups, allows investors to take risks which would not be justified according to officially approved criteria, thus opening the way to the rich rewards that go to those who know how to get in early and to the parts other punters cannot reach, so as to invest in ventures that conventional moneymen pass by, rewards which can subsequently serve as the springboard for further economic prosperity in the territories concerned.  The task for governments is therefore not to ‘crack down’ on corruption, but to arrange for discreet management of regulation, with, in the foreground, a few flamboyant or protracted  investigations to distract public attention from less skilfully organised activities and to provide evidence to the international community that the appointed regulators are still at work.  Several South American countries and two major financial centres in Europe are cited with particular approval, although at a lower level a number of British municipal authorities win high praise

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Plaudit of the week : As he grew older he suffered increasingly from that fear of encountering unfamiliar opinions which used to drive so many to subscribe to the Daily Telegraph (from a biography of Horatio Bottomley).

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European news : There continues to be much criticism of the recently introduced EU regulations dealing with domestic pets, on a number of scores such as the exclusion of budgerigars from the list of acceptable household pets, to mark EU disapproval of Australian policy with regard to immigrants.  Nevertheless the Commissioner has announced that it is the intention to follow up those measures with fresh regulations establishing compulsory fitness tests for domestic pets.  These will be designed for the benefit of both pets and owners (here designated the ‘responsible hosts’), and also for others who may be affected by the presence of such animals in the neighbourhood.  For instance, cats must be able to enter and leave through standard-sized cat-flaps, thus making it illegal for a responsible host to tolerate obesity in these animals, while dogs must be unable to leap a three foot high fence, for the protection of the environment and those living in the vicinity.

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As an experiment I am, with Dr Karela’s approval, offering a competition.  Most of us are familiar with anagrams, where the letters of one word can be rearranged so as to make another word or phrase.  In the early nineteenth century James Whortleberry and Nephew of Shepton Mallet tried to develop a form of lighting, based on magnesium filings, superior to what was available before the widespread adoption of gas lighting, and advertised their product as the ‘clean powder that’s better than candlepower’.  An anatax, however, is when two phrases can change places and still leave two sentences that make sense, like these:

   It’s time to stretch my legs and take the dog for a walk

   It’s time to stretch the dog and take my legs for a walk

   he married his childhood sweetheart and ten years later discovered it had been a mistake

   he married a mistake and ten years later discovered it had been his childhood sweetheart

A special prize for the best anatax sent in before the end of June.  (A copy of the satirical trilogy The tale of Esmond Maguire, normal price 18 euros.)

Maud Timoshenko

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A Luddites Gazette special

Stonehenge still off limits.  We shall challenge government’s right to restrict access to public domain.  (Further information as available.)      Our readers having complained that Luddites Gazette has not been getting a fair share in the distributions, all items below are randomly selected from that esteemed organ:

1) Tasers not used   2) Social network bunkum   3) Arabian enigma   4) Strategy enigma   5) Hollande   6) used news       New distribution pencilled for 30-11-2012

1) Local news

At 2 am 11 November an 84-year-old man in Port Macquarie, New South Wales, was woken by two men entering his bedroom.  (This authentic story can be checked with reputable news sources for the area.)  The men were carrying a hammer, a metal pole, and a knife.  The 84-year-old man leaped out of bed and tackled the man with the knife, managed to seize it, and then drove both intruders out, losing only his wallet.

Q: How did the 84-year-old man know they were not police making a search?

Ans: Because they did not taser him.

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2) Opinion (Leah Menshevik, Eastbourne)

It is the purest hand-stuffed baloney to claim that social networks will bring a great advance towards democracy.  First, the crucial factor in sending a message or a clip proliferating through the social networks is the level of its interest quotient or power to rouse strong emotions; nothing to do with factual accuracy.  Second, use of the social networks is not evenly distributed through the population.  The devices are predominantly held by the young.  Even if only through lack of experience the young sometimes get led into troublesome misjudgements (cf membership in sects).  Third, another way that the distribution of users is skewed is towards city-dwellers.  In many nations views and wishes in cities are quite different from those of the country dwellers.  It is very likely there was some rigging of the election that put Ahmadinejad back as Iranian president, but according to polls beforehand (and common sense, in the case of those who had been paying reasonable attention to Iranian politics for more than a week or two) not nearly enough to invalidate his claim to have won.  It was the well-educated urban young who believed that the election had been simply stolen.  It may well be that in the election of Putin as Russian president there were some voting irregularities.  (Personally I think a shot of a soldier helping an old woman to fill in her voting form falls a long way short of demonstrating widespread military manipulation of the election.)  By the way, is there ever an election even in the cleanest countries which does not have some voting irregularities?  In the Russian case the evidence of opinion polls, for those who bothered to know of their existence, showed rural support for Putin on a scale easily enough for him to win.  ‘Ah, but the election was unfair, because of manipulation of the media by the group in power before the election.’  Perfectly true, but the usual understanding is that the election result has to be based on the votes cast on the day of the election.  Show me a country anywhere in the world where the party in power takes scrupulous care to present the opposition’s photo-opportunities as beautifully as their own.

            Finally, even though the well-educated urban young do get to grips with domestic technology faster than ruling bureaucracies ¹, the governments are going to catch up, and they have the means and the motive to undertake massive misreporting and misinformation through the social networks when they finally cotton on.  So much for democracy after that!  The networks can open the door to democracy if it happens that the ‘authorities’ are useless at faking, and that the complaints of the networkers happen to match those of the non-young, the non-urban, and the non-skilled who do not use the net (estimated in the UK in 2011 at around 14% of the population).  But there is another door.  That one opens the way to coups by urban mobs.

¹ military technology is quite another matter; ruling bureaucracies do not get to grips with that ever, leaving it in the hands of the generals

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3) Behind the news

  It is not necessarily astonishing that Saudi Arabia should have just placed an order for twenty large transport aircraft.  Admittedly, one does not foresee oil exports going by air on any large scale but perhaps some market has just discovered that it has a large appetite for sand – maybe to fill the sandbags to deal with the ever worsening floods in Asia.

[Government interruption under Correct Information decree dns31b): recent flooding in several countries is merely part of a natural fluctuation in the planetary climate and absolutely in no way connected with any notion of so-called  global warming and even more definitely not linked to any global warming produced by human activity such as ill-informed critics suggest will follow our decision to withdraw development funds from research into renewable sources of energy, and instead to invest massively in shale oil and fracking so that transport and energy production may carry on in precisely the ways which we have used so long to achieve successful economic development.  Without them the whole framework of our economy would have to be redesigned.]

Right, if we may resume.  The twenty large transport aircraft are themselves not so remarkable, but the other part of the order was for five refuelling aircraft.  That suggests long flights over territory where one will not be able or not allowed to refuel, which does not these days apply to many civilian cargo journeys.  Those unfamiliar with maps of the Middle East may leap nervously to the conclusion that the project is an invasion of Iran, but that would be mistaken.  No need for refuelling there, only a short hop across the Gulf.  So clearly they are not needed for an invasion of Iran by Saudi Arabia.

            But if not that, what?  Has anyone any suggestions?

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4) Thought for the day

An eye for an eye is one thing (though people with a highly developed awareness of the way to deal with other humans know only too well that this is usually among the worse ways to deal with a problem and in fact very often aggravates the problem instead of solving it.)  But when an eye lost is thought to be compensated by an eye, and another eye, together with an arm, and two legs, and also the eyes of a wife, and the lives of a neighbour and the neighbour’s children …  But we’ll leave airy matters like justice and humanity to others, and just ask here whether that sort of approach to a problem is likely to be effective.

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5) From our readers’ letters

One hates to kick a man when he is down, so I shall simply remark that some men are born with a natural air of authority (which of course is quite a different question from whether they can be entrusted with exercising it) and carry it round with them through success and setbacks alike.  Romney lacked it and lost.  Conrad Black emerged from a prison term looking ready to lead a continent to victory.  But poor François Hollande.  Probably the first French president with a natural air of ineptitude.

Augustus de Courtmond, Québec

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6)  Editorial Several years ago the BBC was forced into major cost-cutting measures in order to maintain its standards (‘the highest in the world!’) of broadcasting and to offer salaries that would encourage first-class staff (‘outstanding in their field!’) to work at the BBC to produce high-quality programmes (‘for which it is justly famous!’) in addition of course to its own ‘public service’ announcements squeezed into large cracks between thin programmes to inform the world how good the BBC (‘the world’s leading broadcaster!’) is.  The latter type of production is not inexpensive as well as taking a great deal of staff time, and so it was decided then to save money in the future by trying as far as possible to buy only second-hand news.  This of course brings a considerable saving on the budget, especially when the news, as with most science items for example, is more than a month  old.  (There is not a simple link between the age of news and its cost, however.  For instance recent reports on the sinking of the Titanic one hundred years ago were said to have needed several committee meetings and according to one source even a week-end conference in Barcelona to get its budget approved, although this has been denied.)  Since then salaries, for those staff who have been lucky enough to remain on the payroll, have of course increased substantially along with production costs and other miscellaneous expenses, but the world will be thankful that financial disaster is still being staved off.  This is largely  because the BBC has again changed its practice in news purchase.  Formerly, after of course using free government press releases, it dealt mostly with established news vendors (it is many years since it maintained a large enough overseas corps of its own), but now it is willing to accept items from almost any source provided that the cost is considered acceptable.  It is rumoured that sometimes for reasons of their own outside organisations have been willing actually to pay for some item to be included in news programmes, but it has not been possible to confirm this.  Individuals often appear willing to contribute newzak or blurred actuality shots taken on mobile phones entirely free of charge.  But this policy has its risks.  Major news vendors can usually be trusted to check the validity of their items with some care.  Individuals and less reputable companies may not; some may even knowingly offer false stories or misleading pictures either for profit or from some more noble ulterior motive.  Before long the BBC risks being overwhelmed by callers, angry, honest, malicious, gullible, or careless according to the circumstances, offering material appearing to show, for instance, that a controversial politician has been photographed trousering a fat brown envelope, or that some well-known public figure has a cupboard in his attic containing a bunch of angry skeletons hammering to be let out.  Even as those words are wrtten, reports come of columns of lawyers and police, heavily armed with affidavits and warrants, advancing on the BBC from several directions.

            Can the BBC continue to rely on an audience for news programmes composed almost wholly of two constituent parts: those who listen without attention, and those who have given up even bothering to switch its newscasts on?

Appeal: do you have any old newspapers or magazines at home?  Spare five minutes to cut out anything you think might fit into a BBC newscast and send to ‘BBC, Broadcasting House, London’.  Every little helps.

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honor hominesque honesti floreant